Around town Football Outsiders came away with an 8-7-1 ATS record (104-127-9 YTD). The Las Vegas SuperContest top 5 consensus picks are 2-3 this week (46-34-1 YTD). Via Jay Kornegay out of Vegas, the consensus wiseguy picks went 2-2 (36-46-1 YTD), and the public were 3-3 (47-44-2 YTD).
My week ended at 1-3 ATS for Week 16, and 1-2 on teasers. The non-covers came from the Ravens, the Colts, and the Broncos. Indy got smacked in the mouth early and they didn't look too interested in punching back. The Ravens loss was more surprising to me though. They matched up really well with Houston, but didn't come close to executing on either side of the ball. As for Denver, that's a loss I sure didn't see coming. Dalton finally got the prime-time win, and Peyton looked mortal.
We now shift our focus to the final week of the season and it's probably going to be even tougher than this week. A lot more teams than I expected showed up and relished the spoiler role - even teams that looked like they were in complete disarray (SF, WSH, CHI). Comparing the opening lines with the look-ahead numbers, the Texans, Ravens, Patriots, and Seahawks got noticeable bumps, while the Dolphins and Eagles got downgraded.
My usual picks and prime-time previews will be up over the coming days, so you can refresh this post for updates.
Survivor Pick
If you've made it all this way without getting one wrong, you've probably already won your pool. If not, you still deserve big props either way. This season has been extremely tough to navigate.
Week 17: pending
Week 16: Bills
Week 15: Chiefs
Week 14: Lions
Week 13: Dolphins
Week 12: 49ers
Week 11: Steelers
Week 10: Ravens
Week 9: Bengals
Week 8: Cowboys
Week 7: Patriots
Week 6: Broncos
Week 5: Saints
Week 4: Chargers
Week 3: Colts
Week 2: Packers
Week 1: Bears