61% of the the bets are on Pittsburgh so far.
Bottom LineI've liked a lot of what the Bengals have done this year, but it always seems to be dampened by the Andy Dalton situation. I was foolish to trust him in a prime-time game earlier in the year, and he's had mixed performances in most of the other games on the schedule. I think he should be ok in this one though because the Steelers D ranks near the bottom of the league, and 29th vs the pass.
On top of that, Pittsburgh's D ranks 24th inside the 20 and 25th on 3rd/4th downs. When you go on the road, these are not the kind of numbers you want to have, especially if you need to come up big in an important game. Cincy's offense ranks near the middle of the pack, and it's complimented by a 7th best special teams unit.
This has the makings of a crazy and unpredictable game given who we are talking about, but the Bengals have been much better pretty good at home, and have a clear advantage in the matchups. If Dalton can't put up enough points to win against this defense, you might as well write off Cincy for the rest of the year.
NFL Pick: CIN -3.
Read more: Week 14 picks.