Sunday, December 7, 2014

NFL Predictions 2014: Week 14 Picks

Week 13 is in the books and dogs came out 8-7 (DEN-KC closed PK). For the season, favorites and dogs are split right down the middle at 94-94-3.

Around the market things were a mixed bag. Football Outsiders picks went 8-8. YTD they are 83-103-7. The Las Vegas SuperContest top 5 consensus picks had a rare losing week, going 1-4, but are still 37-28 on the season. Finally, Jay Kornegay's wiseguys in Vegas went 3-4 ATS (30-41-1 YTD), while the joes went 1-3 ATS (39-38-2 YTD).

I fared a bit better going 3-2 with my picks, and 2-0 on teasers. The only two not to come through was a prime-time "over" on Thanksgiving, and an underwhelming performance from the Dolphins. The Jets wisely kept Geno Smith out of the game entirely, but Miami couldn't do anything on offense. On the bright side, they did manage to cover both teasers.

Week 14 lines are up and you can see how they compare with perceptions from last week here.  The biggest changes so far are the Saints going from -6.5 to -9.5, and the Rams going from PK to -2.5.  I'll have my picks and prime-time previews up over the coming days, so you can refresh this post for updates.


Survivor Pick

Every poll options won last week unless you were unfortunate enough to take the Giants over the Jaguars. What makes that loss even worse is that they were up 21-0 against a terrible offense. Ouch.

Week 14: Lions

Week 13: Dolphins
Week 12: 49ers
Week 11: Steelers
Week 10: Ravens
Week 9: Bengals
Week 8: Cowboys
Week 7: Patriots
Week 6: Broncos
Week 5: Saints
Week 4: Chargers
Week 3Colts
Week 2: Packers
Week 1: Bears