60% of the bets are on Buffalo thus far.
Bottom LineLike most of Buffalo's matchups, the defenses are expected to rule the day. The thing about that is it's typically the Bills defense that matches up more favorably, and it's no different again this week.
Regrettably, I passed on Buffalo last week, but there was just no way to know how they would respond after a chaotic week of preparation and location changes. This week they will be back at the (not-so-cozy) confines of Ralph Wilson Stadium, and I expect that to be a nice advantage after all they've gone through in Buffalo.
Statistically, the Bills defense is simply dominant at the moment. They have far and away the best DL in football, and it will be a polar opposite challenge than the Browns faced in Atlanta. On top of that, the Bills defense is first in the NFL on 3rd/4th downs, while the Browns rank 30th. Overall, the Bills D ranks third as a unit. What it all adds up to is a very long day for Hoyer and company.
I'll ride the Bills, and I'd still take it if it moved to -3.
NFL Pick: BUF -2.5.
Read more: Week 13 picks.