61% of the bets are on Atlanta.
Bottom LineI don't think very much of Atlanta at all, but here I am taking them for a second week in a row. Why?
Their defense is still bad, they make head-scratching decisions in the 4th quarter, and they remain a terrible team on third down.
Like I wrote last week, there is still hope for this team. Strangely, they sit atop the division with a losing record, and have a chance to retain that with a beatable Browns team coming to town. Matt Ryan also keeps them in most games with the passing game.
We are also past the halfway mark of the season and the Falcons have only played three games in the dome (2-1). It's possible that we could see an uptick in their rankings once that home-road split evens out, especially given how much they have to play for.
This is one of those hold-your-breath picks, but I think it could be the right time to get on the Falcons, and we get them at a good price, too. This line should probably be -3.5, and I won't be surprised if it moves there at some point before Sunday.
NFL Pick: ATL -3.
Read more: Week 12 picks.