Thursday, November 6, 2014

Week 9 is done and favorites and dogs split the week at 6-6-1 ATS. Favorites have covered 67-63-3 on the season .

Football Outsiders had another woeful week at 5-7-1 ATS, and now sit 54-74-6 on the year. I really expected better from them by now, but in today's NFL I guess I shouldn't be too surprised.

The Las Vegas SuperContest top 5 consensus picks went 3-2 again, and continue to build on a solid season at 26-19 against the number. Joe Kornegay's "pros" went 3-1 ATS (21-26-1 YTD), and the "joes" finished 2-2 (28-26-2 YTD). Todd Furhman's "pros" finished 3-2 ATS (27-25-2 YTD), and the "joes" went 1-2 ATS (20-21-2 YTD).

My picks only went 3-3 ATS with losses coming from really poor road performances from San Diego, Denver, and Baltimore.  I wasn't surprised that any of them lost, but it was surprising how they lost. No points for the Chargers, a no-show from the Broncos D, and an old fashion ass-kicking from the Steelers. Ouch.

Week 10 lines are up, but a handful of games are still off the board. You can see how they compare with the look-ahead lines here.

Survivor Pick

Given all the upsets this year, you get major props if you've survived this long. This week there were two more casualties as the Cowboys and 49ers both choked. Combined, they made up 26% of the vote.

Week 10: Ravens

Week 9: Bengals
Week 8: Cowboys
Week 7: Patriots
Week 6: Broncos
Week 5: Saints
Week 4: Chargers
Week 3Colts
Week 2: Packers
Week 1: Bears