76% of the bets are on the Packers, and I'm sure even more money will come in on them as we inch closer to kickoff.
That needs to change if the Bears want to stay in this one, but their pass rush has been mediocre all year. In fact, there's nothing they do well on defense.
It gets a little bit better when we look at their offense, but not by a whole lot. The Bears have done a good job moving the ball and converting those drives into touchdowns once they get inside the 20, but they don't do consistently enough. On paper there's no reason why this offense can't be prolific, and they get a Packers defense that struggles on third down or inside their red zone, but Jay Cutler remains ... well, Jay Cutler. If he can put together a relatively mistake-free performance, they have a chance. Realistically, that's usually asking a lot.
The Packers have the biggest mismatch with their passing game, but is it enough to win by more than a TD?
I'm inclined to say yes, but I wouldn't consider it unless the books offered us -6.5. At -7, it's a pass for me. Instead, I'd rather tease them down to -1 and just ask them to win the game straight up.
UPDATE: We've now seen an expected move off the -7. Most books have it -8.5, but some are keeping it out of the teaser window at -9.
Read more: Week 10 picks.