Market Watch84% coming in on the home favorite.
An obvious problem they have is the injury to AJ Green. Sanu is a nice WR, but he's not a number one, let alone a guy who can dictate how defenses scheme. Marvin Jones was put on IR, so there is no help on the way either. This is an offense that was already below average on third down, and I expect that to drop further as long as Green is out.
And speaking of third down, the Colts D actually leads the league in that category through six weeks. That's obviously not going to last, but it's much better than anyone expected when you look at this unit on paper.
The key matchups will be Cincy's run game vs Indy's run D, and Andew Luck vs the Bengals secondary. Given how poor Cincy's pass rush has been this season, I really like Luck's chances here. They've been on fire for the last month, and I think it continues on Sunday.
NFL Pick: IND -3.
Read more: Week 7 picks.