Monday, October 6, 2014

Denver Broncos Vs. New York Jets: DEN -7 (-115) (Pinnacle)

Market Watch

This is another game that has seen a move from last week's look-ahead line. Westgate had it at -6, but after Week 5 action it got re-opened at -7. There are signs that this number is going to move off the key number and hit -7.5 (or higher), so this is one you probably don't want to wait on if you want to add it to your card.

Bottom Line

I've faded the Jets for three weeks in a row and I have no intentions on stopping that money train now. It was already announced that Geno Smith would start this game, but does it really matter? Neither QB seems like the "best chance to win" option at this point in time.

In fact, there isn't a whole lot of analysis needed for this matchup. The Broncos are finding their groove and continue to ascend up the power rankings. Their defense is much improved from last year, and that's scary when you consider the leads that Peyton will provide them.

Conversely, the Jets continue to slide down to the bottom of the rankings, and if Week 5 was any indication, they aren't going up anytime soon. The worst part about this stretch is that they've faced deadly passing attacks week after week. The Bears, Lions, and Chargers carved them up vertically, and now they get the pleasure of facing off against another high powered offense. Without a good secondary, Ryan can't implement the schemes he wants, so this defense will be on an island until they get a lesser opponent.

The wheels are falling off in New York, and this game should be the final nail in their 2014 coffin.

NFL Pick: DEN -7.

Read more: Week 6 picks