Market Watch62% of the bets are on the home team.
One thing that I think is undeniable is which defensive unit is the better of the two. You have to scroll way down the page to find where Indy is ranked, while the Ravens are safely in the top half of the list.
Yes, it's a concern that Baltimore will be without their starting LT, but can you name Indy's best pass rusher? The best hope that the Colts defense has is if Luck can built them a two or three score lead. It's entirely possible that happens since the Ravens front seven is stronger than their secondary, but overall this is a much, much better defense than the last two Colts opponents, the Titans and Jaguars.
For me, the Ravens are the better overall team, so the line should be -2.5. This gives us a full point of value through the key number of three. It should be a really good game, and it could very well come down to the last possession of the game, but in that scenario I like the team that offers the hook even more.
NFL Pick: BAL +3.5.
Read more: Week 5 picks