So far only 59% of the bets are on the Chargers, which actually surprises me.
Fast forward to this season and it's almost like deja vu. Going into their matchup against the Colts, I heard the same thing all week, "the Jags have value at +7, etc etc".
Equally puzzling, "sharp" money pounded the Bills from PK up to -2.5 in Week 3. Why? Apparently because San Diego was due for a "letdown" after beating the Seahawks, and they were a West coast team traveling East for an early game.
Both are good examples of touts out-thinking themselves.
Now the Jags will try Blake Bortles at QB and live with the mistakes on the fly. Well, all I can say is good luck because it could get ugly. He has the misfortune of playing behind a terrible OL and a non-existent running game. Even worse, their defense is embarrassing bad. A QB like Philip Rivers should tear them apart.
If Jacksonville finish within 20 points I'll be genuinely surprised.
NFL Pick: SD -13.5.
Read more: Week 4 picks