Sunday, September 14, 2014

Houston Texans Vs. New York Giants: HOU -2.5 (Pinnacle)

Market Watch

Even after the Giants looked abysmal against the Lions, Vegas still had them as -3 point favorites in this game in the look-ahead line. Now that they've laid an egg two weeks in a row, they've become the dog. The line for this one re-opened with the Texans as -2.5 point favorites, but I don't think that's enough of an adjustment. 70% of the early bets are on Houston.

Bottom Line

After missing out on the Lions in Week 1 and Texans in Week 2, it only makes sense to make up for it by riding Houston in this one. Their defense looks rejuvenated and they shouldn't have too many issues facing another subpar offense.

It's ugly betting on a guy like Fitzpatrick, but with a solid defense and a good running game they should be able to get by against inferior teams. The Giants pass rush showed some signs of life versus Arizona, but the Texans OL still hasn't given up a sack this year. The Gmen also lost a couple more starters on that side of the ball (Beason, Thurmond), and their availability is sketchy at best.

I might have to sweat this one out, but the Giants are a big mess. They continue to make mistakes in all three phases of the game, and the talent just isn't there this year. I'd be surprised if they figured it out by next week.

NFL Pick: HOU -2.5.

Read more: Week 3 picks