Market Watch87% of bets are on the Lions in this game.
And what happens when the Jets have to play from behind? They have to lean on Geno Smith. To Detroit's credit, they were able to disrupt the Packers offense with a dominant pass rush. That is a huge feat considering the liabilities they have on the back end. I don't think the Lions will get away with that every week, but New York don't have enough weapons to take advantage of aerial mismatches - especially when Smith is so inconsistent.
Finally, it doesn't look like I'll have to sweat another Nate Freese field goal attempt. He missed another one in Week 3, so he's probably gone. A new kicker should be worth .. what? An extra 3 or 6 points in the game? I'll take it.
NFL Pick: DET PK.
Read more: Week 4 picks