Friday, September 12, 2014

NFL Predictions 2014: Week 2 Picks

Week 1 action is in the books and underdogs were the big winners going 11-5 ATS. 7 of those dogs won the game straight up. Unders were uneventfully 9-7.

The top 5 LVH SuperContest consensus picks went 2-3 ATS. Overall the consensus plays went 6-10.

In fact, according to some it was one of the best weeks sportsbooks have ever had in the NFL...


That day only got better when the Colts overcame a big deficit to get a backdoor cover on the Broncos.

Some more highlights of the chaos include ... Brady had the worst game in his career (with at least 45 attempts), while Matt Ryan had the best game of his career. The Jags were up 17 at halftime as +10.5 dogs, but couldn't even cover. The Steelers had a 24 point lead at halftime, but they shit the bed too. Cincy had to come from behind late to preserve their win, Buffalo blew up thousands of teasers, Oakland put up a backdoor cover on the Jets, and the left-for-dead Panthers won on the road with no Cam Newton. I think people broke their kids' piggy banks to get money down on the Bucs because that spread went from -2.5 all the way up to -5.5 at Pinny. If you came away unscathed from all of this, hats off to you.

Last week I half-jokingly tweeted that we should probably sit out September to let the dust settle. It's probably something I should take more seriously because in the last 5 years, I've only had one winning Week 1. My only consolation prizes were riding the Chargers, and fading the Cowboys (who are as bad as we thought they were).

Attention turns to Week 2 where the big question will be which teams merit overreaction. I'll be posting picks and previews for the prime-time games here, so refresh for updates.

Survivor Pick

I avoided the most popular pick on the board in Week 1 and it backfired. I thought Eagles backers would be joining me, but they escaped the scare and took care of business.

Week 2: Green Bay Packers

Week 1: Chicago Bears

Read more:

Stanley Cup Picks

NHL Season Team Props