Sunday, September 7, 2014

NFL Predictions 2014 Week 1: Chargers Vs. Cardinals

San Diego Chargers Vs. Arizona Cardinals: SD +3.5 (-125) (Pinnacle)

Market Watch

Way back in May the LVH opened this line at -3.5, but by the preseason extra juice was attached to San Diego's side. You can still pay a little extra and the hook at books like Pinny, but many have made the full move to 3.  I would still go ahead and play this at +3, but I usually take the hook if it's available at this price.

Have the "public" bought into the Cardinals after they were "the best team not to make the playoffs" in 2013? Time will tell, but so far 67% of the bets are on the dog.

Bottom Line

The Cards' OL should be better and Ellington is a nice addition in the backfield, but what about the D? They got worse in the most important position on this side of the ball - up the middle...and they were already iffy on the outside.

For the Chargers, I like their continuity with their offensive starters, and it will be virtually impossible to be worse on D. They made upgrades to this unit and they get key guys back from injury. Pagano can actually use the secondary to scheme against opponents instead of finding ways to hide them. They won't suddenly become a top 10 group, but average should be good enough to give Palmer and company enough problems to cover (and likely win) this game.

NFL Pick: SD +3.5.