Friday, September 12, 2014

NFL Prediction 2014 Week 2: Cardinals Vs. Giants

Arizona Cardinals Vs. New York Giants: ARI -1 (-120) (5Dimes)

Market Watch

The point spread for this one has seen a flip of the favorite since last week. In the LVH look-ahead the Giants were -2.5 point favorites. On Tuesday morning, that had gone down to -1, and all week the line has moved in favor of the Cardinals. Right now it's Arizona -2 at a lot of places, but 5Dimes is offering -1 at -120. Will go all the way down to PK? It might, but I'm fine taking it at this number.  74% of the bets are on the road team.


Bottom Line

This pick is mostly a fade of the Giants. They might be as bad as we saw against the Lions, but chances are they are better than that. How much better? I expect this game to be competitive, but I don't think New York win. They just don't match up that well on either side of the ball.

Arizona is already undermanned up front, but they are good enough to give the Giants problems. They'll attack up the middle with aggressive blitzes and leave both corners one-on-one - which is exactly where the Giants OL are weakest. If they had better tight ends or slot receivers, they could make Arizona pay, but they aren't strong in those areas either.

I never feel great about backing Carson Palmer, especially if he's banged up a bit, but they have enough around him to put up some points against an iffy defense.

NFL Pick: ARI -1.

Read more: Week 2 Picks