Sunday, September 7, 2014

New York Giants Vs. Detroit Lions

Market Watch

In May we saw Vegas set this line at -4, but ever since there has been constant support for Detroit...or has it been a fade of the G-men?  I think it may have more to do with the latter than the former given the general consensus that the Lions won't be all that great this year.  The current line is -5.5, but some places have moved it up as high as -6.  This isn't surprising since 69% of the tickets are on the home team. That number could rise once the dust settles on Sunday action and people look to double up (or recover losses) on Monday. What should the fair line be?  Your guess is as good as mine because these are two teams that underwent some significant changes in the offseason and feature two erratic quarterbacks.

Bottom Line

On paper there should be a lot to like about Detroit. Stafford has a ton of raw talent and has the best WR to pass to. Their OL took a big step last year and they were excellent in make-or-break situations (3rd down & red zone).  They have a potentially really scary DL, which could be enough to mask some of their issues on the back end.

But ... they are all under a new regime with complex schemes being installed on both sides of the ball. How will Stafford handle that? Do they have the personnel to mix things up on defense? The secondary looks like a nightmare on paper.

The Giants were pretty terrible last season and they did a complete roster turnover. How will Eli and company do in a "West Coast Spread"? The OL won't have to be great, but can they even be average? Will their pass rush be among the top 15? It might be a few weeks before our picture of the Giants comes into focus, and it's best to just sit this one out and see what unfolds.

This game might not be pretty, but it has the chance to be really entertaining..