Saturday, January 11, 2014

Wild Card weekend is in the books and it was a big week for underdogs. They finished 3-0-1 against the closing line and if the Chiefs didn't choke, all four road teams would have won. The KC/IND shootout was the only game to go over the total as the late season 'under' trend continues.

I went 3-1 ATS (16-5-1 last 6 weeks) with the only loss coming from the Eagles. I did say it was my least confident pick of the weekend, and I probably should have passed on it, but I decided to take a chance. I was fortunate with two more close wins with KC and SF, but those games also illustrate the importance of line shopping.

No matter which side you took on those games, you could have walked away a winner. My only regret was not putting something on the Chargers money line. Dalton's implosion didn't surprise anyone.

We now look ahead to the Divisional round and opening numbers are already up. We've seen some early movement, but the consensus lines are SEA -8, NE -7/-7.5, SF -2, and DEN -10. By the numbers, every favorite seems a bit inflated - especially SF and DEN.  We'll see what a closer look reveals and what the injury situations are like during the week.

Check back soon for picks and previews for all the games.