Sunday, November 24, 2013

Week 11 is almost in the books, and favorites lead the way 7-5-2 with the MNF game pending. Overall, favorites are slightly ahead 79-76-5 for the season. Overs are 9-5, which brings the season total to 86-71-2.

The Las Vegas Supercontest top five consensus picks were coming off their first winning week, but sit 0-3-1 for Week 11, with New England +2.5 pending. They are now 15-37-2 on the year.

My Week 11 picks weren't much better. The Chiefs, Chargers, and Redskins all came up short in the final minutes. That brings my record to 5-18 in games where the spread was decided at the end of the game. I have no way of explaining that. I keep waiting for those to even out, but we're already in Week 12.

Even more bizarre was the straight up loss by the Texans against the Matt McGloin led Raiders. That blew up both of my teasers for the week. This after getting the line at -7 and -7.5 before it was steamed to -10 on the weekend. Go figure.

I'll be adding Week 12 picks throughout the week, so refresh for updates.

Survivor Pick

With the exception of the Texans, every decent option for survivor pools came through in Week 11. There are lots of good choices in Week 12 if you're still alive.

Week 12: Detroit Lions

Week 11: Arizona Cardinals
Week 10: Tennessee Titans
Week 9: Dallas Cowboys
Week 8: New Orleans Saints
Week 7: Green Bay Packers
Week 6: San Francisco 49ers
Week 5: Atlanta Falcons
Week 4: Denver Broncos
Week 3: Seattle Seahawks
Week 2: Houston Texans
Week 1: Indianapolis Colts