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Monday, October 21, 2013

NFL Preview 2013 Week 7: Vikings vs Giants

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants

Market Watch

Last week in the look-ahead line, this game was set as a 'pick em'.  After Week 6 play, the Giants opened as -3 point favorites. Both teams lost, but it was the Giants who left a better impression with their prime-time effort against the Bears.  There is also injury concerns for the Vikings and a big change at QB.  I'm not so sure it justifies this much money on New York though. Minnesota has been the better team throughout the season.

70% of the bets are on the Giants, and we've even seen a move off the key number of 3. Leading up to kickoff, New York now sit at -3.5.

Bottom Line

This game puts a lot of bettors in a precarious situation. Do you want to put your trust in Josh Freeman, on the road, in prime-time, on a new team? Or would you rather trust the Giants, who rank near the bottom of the NFL in most of the relevant statistical categories?

Personally, I want nothing to do with this game. I understand the money coming in on the Giants, but I don't see any value there. In fact, if Freeman can limit his mistakes, and AP can have a nice game, I'd say the value is on the Vikings. Either way, there are far too many unknowns on both sides for this matchup, so I'll sit this one out.
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Overall NHL Records

Overall: 1314-1239-38 (+325.39u)

ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
Regulation: 376-338 (+112.46u)
Puckline: 41-54-1 (+2.22)

Player Props: 167-106-24 (+62.22u)
Team Props: 57-36 (+40.51u)
Totals: 121-124-13 (-20.67)
Parlays: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 3-9 (-13.12u)

Futures: 3-12 (+0.5u)

Records Archive


NHL 2017/2018


Overall: 78-94 (-12.81u)

ML:
54-66-0 (-10.31u)
Regulation:
24-26 (+1.5u)
Puckline:
0-2 (-4u)

Player Props: 0-0
Team Props:
0-0
Totals:
0-0

Futures:
0-0

NHL 2016/2017

Overall: 210-219-1 (+50.34u)

ML:
124-132 (+34.13u)
Regulation:
51-53 (+6.86u)
Puckline:
6-5 (+5.6)

Player Props: 9-6 (+4.2)
Team Props:
10-12 (-5.13)
Totals:
8-8-1 (-0.3u)

Futures:
1-3 (+5u)

NHL 2015/2016

Overall: 223-194-1 (+106.79u)

ML: 119-104 (+64.4)
Regulation: 75-69 (+27.84u)
Puckline: 0-5 (-10u)

Player Props: 16-7-1 (+14.75u)
Team Props: 13-6 (+15.8u)
Totals: 0-0
Parlays
: 0-0
Grand Salamis: 0-0

Futures: 0-3 (-6u)

NHL 2014/2015

Overall: 331-357-10 (+11.25u)

ML: 95-105 (+4.66u)
Regulation: 100-94 (+17.76u)
Puckline: 31-38 (+8.02u)

Player Props: 48-39-7 (+8.65u)
Team Props: 17-10 (+13.77u)
Totals: 29-44-3 (-32.03u)
Parlays
: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 1-3 (-4.28u)

Futures: 1-4 (0u)

NHL 2013/2014

Overall: 472-375-26 (+169.82u)

ML: 144-133 (+53.69u)
Regulation: 126-96 (+58.52u)
Puckline: 4-4-1 (+2.6u)

Player Props: 94-54-16 (+34.62u)
Team Props: 17-8 (+16.07u)
Totals: 84-72-9 (+11.66u)
Grand Salamis: 2-6 (-8.84u)

Futures: 1-2 (+1.5u)

International

Overall: 23-20 (+20.38u)

ML: 7-4 (+12.12u)
Regulation: 1-1 (+2u)
Puckline: 10-7 (+9.06u)

Totals: 4-0 (+7.2u)

Futures: 1-8 (-10u)

NFL

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Playoffs ATS: 23-17-2
Regular Season ATS: 194-193-18
Preseason ATS: 59-41-1

Totals: 54-57-2
Teasers: 113-95-3
Props: 288-242