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Tuesday, October 15, 2013

NFL Preview 2013 Week 7: Seahawks vs Cardinals

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

Market Watch

Last week in the Las Vegas look-ahead line, the Seahawks were -6.5 point favorites for this game. After the Week 6 dust settled, sportsbooks reopened them at -4.5.  Early money came in on Seattle and pushed it back up to -6.5 until yesterday.  Today, we are seeing late action bring this line back down. Right now, it sits at anywhere between -4.5 and -5.5.

There's no question that the Seahawks are the better team, but it's safe to say that this is an inflated point spread. Yet, a full 70% of bets this week are on Seattle.

FULL ANALYSIS

Bottom Line

The Cardinals put up a nice effort on the road against the 49ers last week, but things don't get any easier with the Seahawks coming to town. They are going to need a huge game from their defense to have a chance, and they'll undoubtedly need to win the turnover battle. When you put up one of the worst passing offenses against one of the best, it could get ugly.

The hope for Arizona is that they have a nice home field advantage. That becomes amplified on a short week.  If their defense can somehow keep this close going into the second half, the crowd will stay into it and they'll have a chance to cover as an underdog.

Ultimately, I would suggest to take a pass on this game because Seattle shouldn't be more than 3 or 4 point favorites. They were a nice teaser option earlier in the week, but the recent line movement has ruled that out. The Seahawks should win, but this is a tricky spot for them to cover.
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