Market WatchIn the advance line, the Falcons were touchdown favorites over the Jets, but after Geno Smith's performance in Week 4, and the loss of Santonio Holmes, the line re-opened at -7.5. Almost immediately, the line got bet up out of the teaser zone, and now sits at -9.5/-10, depending on where you look.
This line is a bit inflated, which would seemingly give some value on the Jets, but that all depends on Geno Smith.
Meanwhile, Matt Ryan looks like a Pro-Bowler between the 20's, but he hasn't got the job done when it matters most - in the red zone. Is he no longer "Matty Ice"? We'll need another playoff to determine that, but perhaps it's unfair to judge him too harshly while he's playing behind a struggling offensive line.
In the end, we have two badly flawed teams. In terms of value, the only side I would look at would be New York, but that would require some blind faith in Geno Smith. The big problem with that is if he gets down a couple scores. It's one thing to have a rookie QB, it's entirely different to have one that is missing weapons playing from behind. I'll take a pass.