Saturday, September 7, 2013

NFL Preview 2013 Week 1: Giants vs Cowboys

New York Giants vs Dallas Cowboys

Market Watch

Back in May this game opened up with the Cowboys as -3 point favorites. This is a surprise to no one as NFC East battles have been coin flip affairs for quite some time. Yet, once the preseason started the injuries began to pile up for New York and people were encouraged with what they saw with the Dallas defense. This pushed the line off the key number of 3 to -3.5.

As we approach kickoff, the line sits somewhere in the middle. If you want -3 you can get that with a bit of extra juice. If you like the Giants at +3.5, you can get that as well. I expect this game to close at -3, so if you like the Giants now is the time to grab them.  57% of the bets are currently on the Giants.

FULL ANALYSIS

Bottom Line 

If this was a make-or-break game to clinch a playoff berth, I'd have no problem fading Dallas. However, a win or loss isn't going to kill either team in Week 1. There are so many unknowns all over the field for both teams.

Can the Giants defensive line return to form? Will their secondary hold up against a tough group of receivers? How will Monte Kiffin's scheme work against a top flight quarterback and great offensive coordinator? Will Jason Garrett continue to make bad clock management mistakes? What will Tony Romo do? Will he be scrambling out of a broken interior pocket all game?

Dallas are three point favorites because they are at home, but even that might be questionable as they were 0-6 against the spread as home favorites in 2012. I'll gladly be sitting this one out.