Tuesday, August 20, 2013

Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers: SEA -2 (Pinnacle)

Market Watch 

This line opened at a variety of numbers between -1.5 and -3. The consensus number seems to be -2 right now, but you can pay more juice and grab -1 (-130) if you want. I don't think it's with the extra 20 cents in this particular case so I'm just fine taking -2. To no one's surprise, 70% of the action has come in on the the Seahawks. News regarding the starting playing time could move this line in the next day or so, but I don't expect any surprises.


Bottom Line 

Pete Carroll is a beast in the NFLX season and 9-1 ATS in his last 10. Mike McCarthy has a winning record in dress rehearsal games, but let's keep in mind he faced the hapless, uninterested Colts a couple times when Peyton was there. He also had the preseason all-star Matt Flynn backing up Aaron Rodgers. Those days are over as we now have scrubs behind Rodgers. I expect Green Bay to be competitive for the first half, but after that Pete Carroll's coaching emphasis on winning will take over and he has better backup QB's to get the job done. I like Seattle to continue their preseason hot streak.

NFL Pick: SEA -2.