Sunday, December 2, 2012

Not much to report for Week 12.  Favortes/dogs split the weekend 8-7-1.  Dogs still hold a 96-75-5 overall edge (56.1%).

Week 12 Recap

NFL Picks 2012: Week 13 Predictions
There was no way I was going to keep up 71% the rest of the season so the speedbump came this week.  Final tally was 1-3-1 ATS and 0-2 on teasers and totals.  With 3 picks on the Packers, they were going to make or break my weekend.  Although I felt pretty good about them after late line movement moved the number closer to what I thought it should be (pick em). 

Dallas and Green Bay got whooped.  Hindsight is always 20/20, but I knew the risks.  The Cowboys seem to struggle as a favorite and the Giants were ready coming off the bye at home.  Bad picks. 

I don't regret the Seahawks, especially with the way Wilson played.  I feel ripped off with that garbage penalty that turned the game, but would I be complaining if the same thing helped me win?  Probably not.

Finally, if I didn't grab the early lines for the Falcons and Texans, I would have had a push/loss added on my totals instead of a win/push.  Getting the best numbers is vital to long-term profitability.

Week 13 Picks

Update*:  small card this week, but if you like teasers this week is for you. 


Bengals vs Chargers 

Teasers 

Team Totals & Props

Survivor Pick

10 minutes after kickoff I knew I was in trouble with my survivor pick.  The Bengals whipped up on the Raiders, which was the obvious survivor pick of the week.  I decided to go off script and ride the Seahawks because I trusted what I've seen from them all year much more than what I've seen from Cincinnati.

The good news?  TeamRankings and Beyond the Bets remained undefeated heading into Week 13 so keep an eye on what they pick

Survivor Pick: Dallas Cowboys

Week 12: Seattle Seahawks
Week 11: Denver Broncos
Week 10: Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 9: Detroit Lions
Week 8: Green Bay Packers
Week 7: San Francisco 49ers
Week 6: Atlanta Falcons
Week 5: New York Giants
Week 4: Baltimore Ravens
Week 3: Chicago Bears
Week 2: New England Patriots
Week 1: Houston Texans