Thursday, November 15, 2012

As expected, the favorites didn't clean out the books this week like they did in Week 9.  With the Monday game pending, dogs went 7-6 in Week 10 and hold a 82-61-3 overall edge (57.3%).

Week 10 Recap

NFL Picks 2012: Week 11
The winning continues for a third straight week.  Final tally was 3-2 ATS and 3-1 on totals and teasers.

The unanimous pick among squares and sharps were the Lions, but they ran into an efficient Christian Ponder and an inspired defense.  Even with a bad start I expected Detroit to make a game of it, but they were never really in this one.  The other inexpilcable loss was the Dolphins.  Jake Locker didn't have a very good overall game, but the Titans defense sure did.  Miami continues to come up with non-covers at home and they sucked on both sides of the ball.  Watching the game you would think it was the Dolphins about to go on vacation, not the Titans.  Go figure.

Despite those two losses, I'm on quite a nice run across the board including 13-3 ATS, 13-4 on totals, 5-1 on teasers, and 10-4 on props.

Week 11 Picks

Teasers

Jets vs Rams

Buccaneers vs Panthers

Ravens vs Steelers

Eagles vs Redskins

Dolphins vs Bills

Team Totals & Props 

Bears vs 49ers

Survivor Pick

Only 6.5% of the poll went with the Giants or Dolphins, but they were the only two teams to come up short.  34% went with the bigger favorites of the Patriots or 49ers and both had to sweat it out to the end.  Some leagues are going to grade the 49ers pick as a loss, which would be a tough way to go out.  Also nice job if you took a chance on the Broncos.  A lot of "sharps" were on the Panthers in that game.  TeamRankings rolled with the Ravens and remain undefeated on the season, so keep an eye on what they pick in Week 11.

Survivor Pick: Denver Broncos

Week 10: Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 9: Detroit Lions
Week 8: Green Bay Packers
Week 7: San Francisco 49ers
Week 6: Atlanta Falcons
Week 5: New York Giants
Week 4: Baltimore Ravens
Week 3: Chicago Bears
Week 2: New England Patriots
Week 1: Houston Texans