Saturday, November 10, 2012

Some books are keeping the Ravens and Texans out of the teaser window at -9 and +1.  You can either pay a bit extra juice with a 6.5 teaser or shop around at a different shop.  I also expect late money to come in on the Raiders which should move the line, so waiting is another option.

Ravens -2.5 & Texans +7.5

Ravens

Despite making Baltimore my "best bet" last week, they are always a team that make you nervous.  The defense has been ordinary this season and injuries haven't helped.  It's good that Suggs is back though and I trust they can do enough to defeat an erratic Raiders offense.  Palmer is actually playing more efficiently than I expected him to, but with no McFadden it's going to be a grind - especially in the red zone where they already rank near the bottom.

Look for a lot of Ray Rice in this match-up as Oakland has been poor vs the run all year.  Finally, the Raiders can't do the little things right either.  Their average net starting field position is the worst in the league and their overall special teams isn't far behind.  Baltimore should win this game, but they haven't been good covering big numbers.

Texans

Full analysis here.

More Week 10 picks.