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Saturday, October 20, 2012

NFL Predictions 2012 Week 7: Team Totals & Props

Team totals from 5Dimes and Pinnacle.

Team Totals

Buccaneers O23.5

Tampa Bay's offense might be inconsistent, but they have a few things going for them in this spot.  First, they are playing a defense that ranks near the very bottom of the lead.  Second, it's possible the Saints offense has some success coming out of the bye, which could open up the chance for garbage points.  Finally, the Bucs are getting no respect in this matchup, despite being the home team and the more successful season under their belts (so far).

Vikings U24

The Minnesota offense has been average to below-average all season long and they've faced subpar defenses for the most part.  Now they get a line of 24 going up against a top 10 unit?  Matchup-wise, there is no reason to think they are going to win this battle over the course of the game, so if they do cover this number it will be thanks to special teams or turnovers.  The Cardinals defense has made most offenses earn their points, and they've been one of the most consistent, too.

Bengals O22

There were red flags surrounding this Steelers team before the year, but even I'm surprised at how bad their defense has been so far.  Not having Polamalu is a big problem, and he's out again this week.  The Steelers actually rank below-average, or near the bottom, of most important categories - run, pass, drive success, third down, and red zone.  The bizarre part is they've achieved these numbers against ho-hum offenses. 


Props from 5Dimes and Bodog.

Lynch O1.5 receptions
Smith throws INT
Gore O12.5 rec yards
Gore +5.5 rush yards vs Lynch
V Davis -1 receptions vs Tate

Big Ben O275.5 pass yards
Dalton O260.5 pass yards
Hawkins O45.5 rec yards 

Leshoure U60.5 rush yards
Stafford U285.5 pass yards
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