Team TotalsColts O20
This is only the second road game of the year for Indy, and their first trip to Chicago didn't go so well. Having said that, it's hard not to like what Luck/Wayne have done this year. The Jets D have been very poor getting offenses off the field and keeping them out of the red zone. They'll continue to mix things up without Revis, but they are far from the shutdown unit we expected.
I was tempted to take Dallas on the spread, but this is a very even matchup on paper. Instead I'll go with the total. The Ravens defense has only been average across the board this year. With a week off, I think the Cowboys get it together enough to make this a good fight. The Ravens also don't have the same kind of pass rush as year's past, so Romo should get his opportunities.
You guys must think I'm crazy to ride the Pats on the road against this Seahawks defense. I could care less how "square" this looks, anyone who doubts the ability of this New England offense to put up points just isn't paying attention. Also, Belichick isn't the type of coach to play conservatively in the 4th quarter (Cardinals game notwithstanding). This is a new kind of test for Seattle's defense.
I have no choice but to add this as a best bet of the week. The Chargers defense has potential and I like them a lot more than I did last year, but they are far from proven in the make-or-break situations. They've had two big tests this year against the Falcons and Saints, and didn't come through in either game. Even if they hold Peyton down for a large stretch of time, he's proving the game isn't over until the final whistle. Worst case scenario, a back-door cover is a very real possibility.
PropsProps from 5Dimes.
TEN -.5 turnovers committed
Big Ben O260.5 passing yards
H Miller O45.5 rec yards
Mendenhall -17.5 rush yards vs CJ
Stokely O2.5 receptions