Friday, August 24, 2012

Seattle Seahawks vs Kansas City Chiefs: KC +1 1st Half (5Dimes)

Coaches

Last week I talked about how much the Chiefs players were buying into Romeo Crennel and that it was a good time to ride them in the preseason. Well the Rams came out inspired and won the first half.  All I will say is I still like what I'm reading from the KC beat writers this week. This is an entirely different team with Crennel at the helm and I expect a good effort in their Week 3 dress rehearsal.

If you're a Seahawks fan you could probably say the same thing. Pete Carroll has Seattle buzzing with two good young quarterbacks one-upping each other quarter after quarter. So far Carroll has two nice wins under his belt this preseason and might walk away with another one in KC.

Markets

Books opened this at pick em, but everybody is riding the Seahawks wave once again. Seattle are now 3 point favorites despite being the road team. For our purposes, I'll gladly skip the Ricky Stanzi and Brady Quinn show and take the +1 first half line.

Quarterbacks

Despite the sharp money and what we've seen in the first two weeks, I'm sticking with KC for another week in large part due to the decision to play Russell Wilson with the starters.I know he's been good, but don't lose sight that he's done it against second and third string players. We all saw how the Titans defensive backups looked against Ryan Lindley.

I want to see how Wilson does against what I think is one of the better defenses in the NFL this week. I'll be extremely surprised if he can match anywhere close to the numbers he's put up so far. You can be sure he's never faced a duo like Tamba Hali and Justin Houston before.

Also, this isn't an offense loaded with dynamic playmakers. Through two games their leading receiver is a rookie running back. Sidney Rice is on pace to get some action, but I don't expect him to finish the half after coming off offseason surgery.

Granted, Matt Cassel isn't the next coming of Joe Montana, but the weapons around him are loaded. The strength of the Seahawks defense is in the secondary, but Brian Daboll's offense can attack you from anywhere on the field.  The running game is capable of taking over a game and they can also hurt coming out of the backfield. Dexter McCluster is an x-factor, Kevin Boss and Tony Moeaki are money over the middle, and Jonathan Baldwin is another option on the outside. Dwayne Bowe will make his debut after a holdout, but Crennel will probably only play him a series or two.

Pick

I might be alone with this pick, but I'm a big believer in what KC has going on this year. It didn't work out last week, but this game isn't on the road. If it were in Seattle I'd likely take a pass.

NFL Pick: KC +1 1st Half.

The rest of my Week 3 predictions are here, or you can find all my 2012 predictions on the home page main menu.