Sunday, November 20, 2011

With the PHI win on Sunday night, week 11 ended with an 0-3 mark against the spread.  Not the results you want to see this far into the season.  I'm not going to bitch about how CAR blew a 27-7 lead or how NY lost to Vince "I don't need practice" Young, because this is the 1st time in 40 weeks that I've gone winless ATS.  These weeks happen and you just have to take them on the chin.  In an ironic twist of fate, my teaser hit which is a nice surprise given how those have gone this year.

Since misery loves company, I'll turn to the market watch for a little bit of downward comparison.  The public consensus picks went 0-4 with NE pending while the Hilton picks went 1-3-1 for the day.  One interesting note to keep an eye on is how many favorites win the game without covering the spread.  Most weeks this season the spread hasn't come into play--especially in games with a spread of 6 points or less.  Essentially, if you can pick who will win the game, you'll cover the number.

I'll have week 12 picks up within the next day or two depending line movement/injury news. 

Market Watch

Public Consensus Top 5 Picks

NYG -6
BUF +2
GB -14
DAL -8
NE -15

Record to date: 25-28-1

Hilton Contest Consensus Top 5 Picks

CHI -3.5
BUF +2
STL -3
MIN +1
CIN +7

Record to date: 25-26-4