Monday, October 31, 2011

(UPDATE Monday PM): I've seen a lot of bad beats in my time, but that KC/SD game ranks right up there. Once again SD struggled with the red zone, penalties, and turnovers against an inferior team.  In that sense the SD pick deserved to lose.  That performance is also going to make the line in the GB/SD game tilted too far in GB's favor which is a shame because I was looking forward to taking GB in that spot.  We'll see how things shake out when the line gets put up tomorrow.

Week 8 is almost in the books and I finished off the day with a nice 4-2 record.  I didn't like the way the day started when CAR missed a 31 yard field goal to tie the game, but these things even out in the end.  The public and pros are headed for a losing week regardless of the MNF outcome.  DET was the big play of the weekend and I'm still surprised at that line.

We are almost at the midway point and based on how things have been around the league I'm happy to be sitting at 55% against the spread for the regular season and 60% including preseason.  There have been some really crazy outcomes this year and this week was no exception (hello STL/NO!).  I might have a play for tomorrow night, but I won't decide until tomorrow afternoon.  Week 9 plays will be up in the next day or two depending on line movement/injuries.

Market Watch

Public Consensus Top 5 Picks

NO -13.5
NYG -10
BAL -12
DET -3
SF -9

Record to date: 18-21-1

Hilton Contest Consensus Top 5 Picks

DET -1.5
DAL +3.5
NE -3
KC +3.5
SEA +2.5

Record to date: 20-17-3