Sunday, October 2, 2011

UPDATE (Sunday PM): A wild week 4 is almost in the books. Things were looking good today until some of the worst offenses in the NFL got some backdoor covers. SF, SEA, and CIN all had big 2nd half comebacks. The MIN pick was just bad.  All in all a 2-3 week and a missed teaser.

If you read my Quick Hits you'll know I passed on some winners because I wanted to stay conserevative, but the good news is I've finished the 1st month in the black. I took a different approach to start the year than I did last year when I struggled out of the gate.  This puts me in a great position to finish out the year with a big advantage.  The vast majority of my picks from here on out will be aided by my statistical formula.

The public had a pretty bad day going 1-4 on the day on their consensus picks and their expected nose-dive has begun.  Sharps had a better day going 3-2 with their top picks.  Going forward, we shall begin to see a greater separation the two.

Market Watch

Public Consensus Top 5 Picks

ATL -4.5
NO -6.5
MIN -1
NYG -1
BUF -3

Record to date: 8-11-1

Hilton Contest Consensus Top 5 Picks

NO -6.5
NE -4
MIN -1
WSH PK
ATL -4.5

Record to date: 10-8-2