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Tuesday, August 30, 2011

2011 NFL Super Bowl Prediction

Last year I predicted IND and GB to make it to the Super Bowl before the season started, so I got half of the puzzle right.  I add these picks more for fun as I don't put a lot of value in Super Bowl futures.  Most fans want to lay a wager on their favorite team or hope for some value in a team off the radar.  So despite the fact that this is a prediction sure to go wrong, these are my teams for the 2011 Super Bowl.

UPDATE: Post-regular season Super Bowl Prediction

San Diego Chargers defeat Green Bay Packers

I was very high on SD last year despite their troubles with turnovers and special teams.  They couldn't get it together long enough to make a run, but I believe this year will be very different.  PIT have the easiest schedule in the league so it will be hard to beat them out for a first round bye, but wherever they are seeded I think they can get the job done.  I just don't see many weaknesses across the board and believe this could finally be their time. Right now they sit at +1100 to win it all depending where you shop.

GB is still the best team in the NFL in my opinion.  Not just because they won the Super Bowl, but because they virtually return the same team in tact and have a bunch of players returning from the injured list.  Rodgers does have a history of concussions though so he could be vulnerable to miss time behind that offensive line.  Last year I said they can make it if they avoid serious injuries and they overcome those setbacks to win it all!  They are still the cream of the crop in the NFC and my pick to make it back to the big dance again.

Two long-shots that I like to win the Super Bowl are...

Houston Texans and Detroit Lions - I realize they are the "sexy" picks this year, but the evidence doesn't lie.  HOU might have the most potent offense in the AFC and if Phillips can make their defense a top 15 unit, I like their chances to beat anybody.  Right now their odds range anywhere  from +2500 to +4500!   The Lions are not only my upset pick in the NFC, but I think they have a real chance at winning their division.  Their defensive line will create serious problems for GB and their offense should be able to put up enough points to stay in the game.  Like HOU, much will depend on how much their defense will improve.  Either way, these teams still have the best darkhorse odds on the card despite their hype.
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