Perhaps it is because they are playing at home? Home field advantage is usually worth extra during the final month of the season, but if you saw any of the ATL/CAR game last week you'll know that no one is really interested in watching this team play anymore. I think MIN might have had a more supportive crowd last Monday night and they were playing on a neutral field. Perhaps it is because ARI is starting their third string quarterback? I'm not sure this is a valid argument either because most fans off the street could be as effective as Derek Anderson or Max Hall. At least John Skelton might have some upside and he didn't embarrass himself during spot duty last week.
My system has this game as a pick em and this is including some points for home field advantage. Needless to say I like ARI here with whatever points Vegas wants to give me. They may not be very good either, but their running game should have a little success against a porous CAR run defense and ARI have done a very underrated job keeping people out of their end zone this year. That isn't good news for CAR because they are only averaging two field goals per game from sustained drives in 2010. Although that stat shouldn't surprise anyone when you consider that Clausen hasn't thrown a TD pass since week 4. Adding insult to injury is the fact that Jay Feely scored more points last week than CAR has in any game this season. I'm rolling with the road team in what could be the most boring game of the season. Prediction: Bank ARI +3.
Atlanta Falcons vs Seattle Seahawks: ATL -6
Last season ATL was just as good, but they had trouble executing when the game was on the line and they were not as healthy. They should be able to demonstrate this once again in week 15 as they take on SEA. Look for more of Turner and White on the scoresheet and I don't expect Ryan's jersey to get that dirty either. ATL have been dominating teams with long drives all year and this is how this game will be decided. I expect them to own the clock and wear down an uninspired SEA defense. In fact, there are only two advantages that SEA will have in this one. Home field and special teams. I'm not that concerned about the crowd because ATL should have the lead by halftime. As for the special teams advantage, if this is a team's only favorable matchup in a game I will be fade them 9 times out of 10. Last week ATL gave up a ton of yards on the ground, but John Abraham has already admitted that the team got a little complacent after dominating CAR in the first two quarters. If they are looking to play like they can for an entire 60 minutes that is not good for SEA. They have 7 losses on the season and every one of them have been by 15 or more points. Prediction: Bank ATL -6.
New Orleans Saints vs Baltimore Ravens: NO +1.5
Washington Redskins vs Dallas Cowboys: DAL -7
Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants: UNDER 46