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Monday, November 8, 2010

Week 9 NFL Predictions: Monday Night Football Teaser

I have a few early picks up now for week 10 with a couple more to follow soon.

Bengals +12.5  & UNDER 47.5
At the moment, 71% of the public are betting their hard earned dollars on the Steelers and the sharps jumped on the early -3.5 line.  This is understandable because a) PIT is a good team and b) CIN is underachieving.  The public also like PIT because of what they saw of them in last Sunday's tilt with NO.  Even though they lost, the game came down to three or four plays.

However, I like CIN in this spot and I have a few reasons why.  First, CIN is in a do or die situation.  They know if they lose this game their season is all but officially over.  They are also in the home dog in a night game situation.  They will not come out like the Cowboys and go through the motions.  This is a division game in prime time that they will get up for.

Granted they have had some struggles on offense this year and Palmer is making critical mistakes in the 4th quarter, but there are plays to be made on this PIT defense.  In fact, I really like the CIN passing game against an overrated PIT pass defense. T.O. has taken over as Palmer's favorite weapon and he's getting more targets, receptions, and yards this season. That doesn't mean Ocho will be invisible tonight, because he (along with T.O.) love the spotlight.  It won't be easy for CIN to get into the end zone a lot, but they should be able to generate enough offense to keep it within two scores.  This is also PIT's third road game in a row, and second straight night game.  PIT hasn't exactly been stellar on offense since Big Ben has returned either.  Prediction: Bank CIN +12.5 & U47.5.

Bonus props:

Cedric Benson 60.5 Rushing Yards: UNDER
Benson has not run very consistently this season and now he gets the league's best to go up against.  There is nothing in the stats that suggest he is about to break out and have a good game either.  

Terrell Owens 63.5 Receiving Yards: OVER
T.O. has become Palmers favorite receiving option this season.  He has the most targets, receptions, and yards on the team.  CIN might also abandon the run for stretches of the game leaving T.O. as a primary threat.
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