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Monday, November 1, 2010

Week 8 NFL Predictions: MNF Teaser & Props

Bonus Props

Pierre Garcon 72.5 Receiving Yards: OVER
With Collie, Clark, and Addai out, Peyton will be looking for Garcon early and often.  Given how bad HOU's secondary is they will want to limit Wayne with double/zone coverage and this will leave Garcon one on one quite a bit.

Arian Foster 97.5 Rushing Yards: OVER
The leading NFL rusher against a suspect IND run defense?   I don't expect over 200 yards like week one, but over 100?  I like his chances.

Colts PK & UNDER 57.5
Despite my 9-12 teaser record on the year, they have actually done pretty well this season (more on this in the mid-season review).   Tonight I've added a bonus teaser to the week 8 list with IND at a pick em and under 57.5.   Most sharps will tell you to bet any total under 49 and so far the public have moved it up to 51.5.  The reason most people love the over in this game is because IND should have a big edge in the air, while HOU will have a big edge on the ground.  At first glance this makes sense, but everyone knows that IND have lost three key offensive players for this game.  Clark, Collie, and Addai are all out so Peyton will have to go into his bag of tricks.  The good news is he's had the bye week to get acclimated with some new receiving options.  HOU will not be able to get to Peyton the same way they did in week one.  Remember that IND's offensive line was put together with duct-tape in that game.  IND will use the home field advantage to their benefit and Peyton has a great night game record.  The rematch between divisional opponents is usually a much more contested affair unless it comes late in the season and one team has already packed it in.  57.5 is a high total to go over and both teams will need to be firing on all cylinders in both halves to make it happen.  HOU can feel good about beating their nemesis in week one, but today will be a much more difficult task.  Prediction: Bank IND PK & U57.5.
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Overall: 1314-1239-38 (+325.39u)

ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
Regulation: 376-338 (+112.46u)
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Player Props: 167-106-24 (+62.22u)
Team Props: 57-36 (+40.51u)
Totals: 121-124-13 (-20.67)
Parlays: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 3-9 (-13.12u)

Futures: 3-12 (+0.5u)

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NHL 2017/2018


Overall: 78-94 (-12.81u)

ML:
54-66-0 (-10.31u)
Regulation:
24-26 (+1.5u)
Puckline:
0-2 (-4u)

Player Props: 0-0
Team Props:
0-0
Totals:
0-0

Futures:
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NHL 2016/2017

Overall: 210-219-1 (+50.34u)

ML:
124-132 (+34.13u)
Regulation:
51-53 (+6.86u)
Puckline:
6-5 (+5.6)

Player Props: 9-6 (+4.2)
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10-12 (-5.13)
Totals:
8-8-1 (-0.3u)

Futures:
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NHL 2015/2016

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Player Props: 16-7-1 (+14.75u)
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ML: 95-105 (+4.66u)
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ML: 144-133 (+53.69u)
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Player Props: 94-54-16 (+34.62u)
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Totals: 54-57-2
Teasers: 113-95-3
Props: 288-242