First off, unlike many other handicappers, I don't put too much weight in trends that go back many years. There is too much roster and coaching turnover to make any relevant links to these trends and the game itself goes through significant changes too. I'm more concerned about the current season trends and how specific matchups look. When you take a closer look at this game NY should have a lot of their own success sustaining drives and getting points from them too. They also average 2 TD's per game from 60+ yard drives this year and will have a nice advantage on the ground on both sides of the ball. L.T. doesn't look as fresh as he did earlier in the year which is one of the main reasons why Greene's touches have increased over the past month, but together they form a nice one-two punch. They get to run behind a stout offensive line and this continues to open up the passing game for Sanchez to find open receivers down the field. NE's defense continues to struggle mightily on third down and in the red zone. NY continue to take too many penalties, but they play well enough to overcome this aggressive approach. This is the style that Rex Ryan accepts and that won't change in their biggest game of the season. This will be a knock-out, drag em out fight and I'll be enjoying it as a fan. The line has moved to -3 at many places so if you can still find the hook grab it. It could prove the difference in a game that could go down to the wire. Prediction: Bank NYJ +3.5.
Greene 55.5 Rushing Yards: OVER
Green-Ellis 58.5 Rushing Yards: UNDER