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Sunday, October 24, 2010

Week 7 Review

Market Watch
Public ATS: 39-60-6
Hilton Contest Consensus Picks: 14-18-3
Back-to-back Hilton Champ Steve Fezzik: 16-17-2

Another day of NFL football is in the books and it was another eventful day.  There was some good and some bad for me.   NY killed the hapless Cowboys which put me a whopping 5-0 on sides, but things didn't go as well with totals going 1-3 leaving me at 6-3 ATS for the day.  Brees screwed up 3 totals all by himself leaving me 1-3 in that department.  That is the risk we take when we bank one team in multiple teasers/parlays.   Every other team in my 4 teasers either won or pushed so I'm not worried about being on the wrong end of those so far.  By the end of the year they will ultimately turn a profit.  The Monday Night player prop also cashed ending the week 8-2.  

The public have yet to have a winning week as they were 6-8 ATS.  Hilton consensus picks went 2-3 and defending champ Steve Fezzik had his best week of the year going 4-1. 

I went back to see how I've done in different categories up to this point in the season.  I had a tough time in the first four weeks working without my system because there wasn't enough stats to use, but since then I have gone 10-4-1 on sides over the last three weeks.  This is what I expected as my system has consistently turned a profit the last four years.  After killing totals in preseason, I've continued to struggle on those despite being on the right side of many of them.  I went back and evaluated what has been going wrong and I've identified some trends that I'll be adjusting for the rest of the way.  I'll detail this in depth in my mid-season review after week 8.

I have early picks up for next week and I'll be adding the rest after I see what the lines do.   Full write-ups will be up tomorrow.
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Overall NHL Records

Overall: 1314-1239-38 (+325.39u)

ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
Regulation: 376-338 (+112.46u)
Puckline: 41-54-1 (+2.22)

Player Props: 167-106-24 (+62.22u)
Team Props: 57-36 (+40.51u)
Totals: 121-124-13 (-20.67)
Parlays: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 3-9 (-13.12u)

Futures: 3-12 (+0.5u)

Records Archive


NHL 2017/2018


Overall: 78-94 (-12.81u)

ML:
54-66-0 (-10.31u)
Regulation:
24-26 (+1.5u)
Puckline:
0-2 (-4u)

Player Props: 0-0
Team Props:
0-0
Totals:
0-0

Futures:
0-0

NHL 2016/2017

Overall: 210-219-1 (+50.34u)

ML:
124-132 (+34.13u)
Regulation:
51-53 (+6.86u)
Puckline:
6-5 (+5.6)

Player Props: 9-6 (+4.2)
Team Props:
10-12 (-5.13)
Totals:
8-8-1 (-0.3u)

Futures:
1-3 (+5u)

NHL 2015/2016

Overall: 223-194-1 (+106.79u)

ML: 119-104 (+64.4)
Regulation: 75-69 (+27.84u)
Puckline: 0-5 (-10u)

Player Props: 16-7-1 (+14.75u)
Team Props: 13-6 (+15.8u)
Totals: 0-0
Parlays
: 0-0
Grand Salamis: 0-0

Futures: 0-3 (-6u)

NHL 2014/2015

Overall: 331-357-10 (+11.25u)

ML: 95-105 (+4.66u)
Regulation: 100-94 (+17.76u)
Puckline: 31-38 (+8.02u)

Player Props: 48-39-7 (+8.65u)
Team Props: 17-10 (+13.77u)
Totals: 29-44-3 (-32.03u)
Parlays
: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 1-3 (-4.28u)

Futures: 1-4 (0u)

NHL 2013/2014

Overall: 472-375-26 (+169.82u)

ML: 144-133 (+53.69u)
Regulation: 126-96 (+58.52u)
Puckline: 4-4-1 (+2.6u)

Player Props: 94-54-16 (+34.62u)
Team Props: 17-8 (+16.07u)
Totals: 84-72-9 (+11.66u)
Grand Salamis: 2-6 (-8.84u)

Futures: 1-2 (+1.5u)

International

Overall: 23-20 (+20.38u)

ML: 7-4 (+12.12u)
Regulation: 1-1 (+2u)
Puckline: 10-7 (+9.06u)

Totals: 4-0 (+7.2u)

Futures: 1-8 (-10u)

NFL

Overall ATS: 277-252-21

Playoffs ATS: 23-17-2
Regular Season ATS: 194-193-18
Preseason ATS: 59-41-1

Totals: 54-57-2
Teasers: 113-95-3
Props: 288-242