Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Steelers -3 & Giants PK & IND +7
Don't think for one second that NY should be favored by 10 in this matchup.  DET have enough youth and firepower to pick up garbage points and cover the number, but with Calvin Johnson hobbled their chances of pulling the outright upset are not very likely.  I have NY capped at -6 which tells me that they should win convincingly, but might not cover.  At -10, they are in the perfect window to tease down to a pick em.   NY will dominate this game on the ground on both sides of the ball and should put up big numbers in the passing game too.  It will be a challenge for Hill to complete passes down the field because NY's pass rush will be in the DET backfield all game long.  If he doesn't have Johnson to bail him out this could get ugly.   Check the other posts for analysis on the other games.  Prediction: Bank NY PK, PIT -3, IND +7. 

Steelers -7 & Chargers -2.5
The Chargers have been their own worst enemy this season. They dominate offensively and rank near the top defensively too.  But if the MIA special teams coach got fired for his debacle against the Patriots then the SD special teams guy should be blacklisted from the NFL.  If S-Jax is healthy he'll have a lot of trouble finding open lanes and Bradford will have it just as rough in the air.  It doesn't help that he lost his go-to receiver for the season.  Rivers is primed for another huge day and I won't be surprised if he puts up another 400 on this pass defense. Given what's happened so far this year it's understandable why a lot of people are hesitant to ask them to win by two scores, but winning by a field goal should be easy enough.  Prediction: Bank PIT -7, SD -2.5.

Ravens +9 & Falcons +9

Steelers PK & NYJ +10 & IND +10 & ATL +16