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Saturday, October 16, 2010

Week 6 NFL Predictions: Baker's Dozen Props of the Week

I didn't have time to post my player props last week, which is why I added an extra prop this week to make up for it.  I would not wager more than a half unit on any of these because at the end of the day they are just game props.  The are more intended for some extra fun for those that like a little bit extra on the games.  With that said, let's take a look at the game props I like for week 6.   They can all be found at

Aaron Rodgers 250.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

Coming off a concussion against a rested MIA team that is decent against the pass.   He also lost his top target Jermichael Finley.

Brandon Jackson 55.5 Rushing Yards: UNDER

Don't let last weeks performance fool you.   Jackson has been horrible running the ball this year and GB brought in Julius Jones to split the load.

Philip Rivers 279.5 Passing Yards: OVER

In the off chance you haven't heard, Rivers is on fire this season.  Now he gets to feast on a Rams secondary that is nowhere good enough to slow down this offense.

Malcolm Floyd 69.5 Receiving Yards: OVER

If you play fantasy football you will be quite familiar with this name.  Someone has to catch those deep balls and Floyd is primed for a big day.

Antonio Gates to Score a TD: YES

Gates has been leading all tight ends this season and no one else is even close.   Rivers might throw for 4 TD's this game and you can be sure Gates will be on the receiving end of one of them.

Joe Flacco 245.5 Passing Yards: OVER

This might go against my personal opinion of Flacco because he needs to show me more than he has before I believe in him, but NE have a mediocre pass rush and an even worse secondary.    He should have little trouble putting up big numbers in this tilt.

Sean Hill 225.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

Hill has been great this season and some are even asking if he should give up his job to Stafford when he returns from injury.   I wouldn't go that far and this week I hate his matchup.  NY's defense is terrorizing opposing QB's right now and Hill will likely be without his top wideout Calvin Johnson.

Eli Manning 269.5 Passing Yards and 1.5 TD Passes: OVER

On the flip side, DET's back seven have been non-existent this year.  Eli has been on a roll the past couple weeks and I love his matchup at home.

Hakeem Nicks 80.5 Receiving Yards: OVER

A fantasy stud in the making.  Jump on this low number.

Arian Foster 90.5 Rushing Yards: UNDER

Like many fantasy owners expected, Foster finally got 'Kubiaked' last week.   Now he's going up against a feisty KC run defense.  I'm a little shocked this number is so high.

Frank Gore 92.5 Rushing Yards: OVER

Gore had a rough week against the Eagles last week, but to help cheer him up he gets one of the worst run defenses in week 6.

Brett Favre 230.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

I've played the under on Favre all season long and made a small fortune on it.  He might have Moss, but how can he throw it to him with a bad elbow?   I'll fade him until I lose.
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Overall NHL Records

Overall: 1314-1239-38 (+325.39u)

ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
Regulation: 376-338 (+112.46u)
Puckline: 41-54-1 (+2.22)

Player Props: 167-106-24 (+62.22u)
Team Props: 57-36 (+40.51u)
Totals: 121-124-13 (-20.67)
Parlays: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 3-9 (-13.12u)

Futures: 3-12 (+0.5u)

Records Archive

NHL 2017/2018

Overall: 78-94 (-12.81u)

54-66-0 (-10.31u)
24-26 (+1.5u)
0-2 (-4u)

Player Props: 0-0
Team Props:


NHL 2016/2017

Overall: 210-219-1 (+50.34u)

124-132 (+34.13u)
51-53 (+6.86u)
6-5 (+5.6)

Player Props: 9-6 (+4.2)
Team Props:
10-12 (-5.13)
8-8-1 (-0.3u)

1-3 (+5u)

NHL 2015/2016

Overall: 223-194-1 (+106.79u)

ML: 119-104 (+64.4)
Regulation: 75-69 (+27.84u)
Puckline: 0-5 (-10u)

Player Props: 16-7-1 (+14.75u)
Team Props: 13-6 (+15.8u)
Totals: 0-0
: 0-0
Grand Salamis: 0-0

Futures: 0-3 (-6u)

NHL 2014/2015

Overall: 331-357-10 (+11.25u)

ML: 95-105 (+4.66u)
Regulation: 100-94 (+17.76u)
Puckline: 31-38 (+8.02u)

Player Props: 48-39-7 (+8.65u)
Team Props: 17-10 (+13.77u)
Totals: 29-44-3 (-32.03u)
: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 1-3 (-4.28u)

Futures: 1-4 (0u)

NHL 2013/2014

Overall: 472-375-26 (+169.82u)

ML: 144-133 (+53.69u)
Regulation: 126-96 (+58.52u)
Puckline: 4-4-1 (+2.6u)

Player Props: 94-54-16 (+34.62u)
Team Props: 17-8 (+16.07u)
Totals: 84-72-9 (+11.66u)
Grand Salamis: 2-6 (-8.84u)

Futures: 1-2 (+1.5u)


Overall: 23-20 (+20.38u)

ML: 7-4 (+12.12u)
Regulation: 1-1 (+2u)
Puckline: 10-7 (+9.06u)

Totals: 4-0 (+7.2u)

Futures: 1-8 (-10u)


Overall ATS: 277-252-21

Playoffs ATS: 23-17-2
Regular Season ATS: 194-193-18
Preseason ATS: 59-41-1

Totals: 54-57-2
Teasers: 113-95-3
Props: 288-242