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Thursday, September 30, 2010

Week 4 NFL Predictions: The Pick Six Player Props of the Week Part I

Last week's props didn't do too well, but this is why I would not wager more than a half unit on any of these.  At the end of the day they are just game props and are more intended for some extra fun for those that like a little bit extra on the games.  With that said, let's take a look at the game props I like for week 4.   They can all be found at Bodog.com.


Vick vs Mcnabb - More Passing Yards: Vick

This is a no-brainer on paper.   Vick has a ton of more weapons than Mcnabb does and PHI have a much better secondary/defense than WSH at the moment.

Vick vs Mcnabb - Rushing Yards: Vick -21.5

While Vick might be making more of a conscious effort to pass from the pocket, make no mistake about it - he will continue to use his legs.   Reid has already stated that he does not want to limit Vick from running the ball and encourages him to take what the defense give him.   This is a huge game and Vick will be more prone to trust his instincts to run the ball if a play breaks down or if he sees an ocean of green in front of him.   Mcnabb will be facing a much faster defense and will be lucky to pile up yards on the ground.  

Mcnabb Sacked 3 Times: OVER

WSH have offensive line problems.  They might be without their left tackle, Mcnabb is learning a new system, and his receivers will not be as open as he'd like them to be.   PHI knows him well and will be overloading the blitz from everyone angle all day long.

Moss vs Jackson Receiving Yards: Jackson -17.5

Ever since Vick has been installed as the full-time starter, D-Jax has tore up the stat sheet.  You might have the fastest WR and QB playing on the same team and even if a play breaks down these two will turn a big play out of nothing.   WSH has been horrendous against the pass this year so he should outperform Moss with relative ease.

Number of times Kolb will be shown on TV: OVER 3.5

Much like the Archie Manning prop, this bet is EASY $$.   I bet more than half a unit on this one because they are going to pan to Kolb ALL DAY LONG.   Every time they discuss the PHI QB situation, they will show Kolb.  Every time they discuss the reason why Mcnabb was traded, they will show Kolb.    And every time either QB makes a big play/mistake, they will show Kolb.   I imagine this prop will be taken down soon.

Number of times Mcnabb's parents will be on TV: OVER 1.5

When Mcnabb's parents have been in attendance in the past, they are usually shown on TV at least once.  FOX loves controversy and have no qualms about pouring fuel on a fire.  You can bet that they will show his parents at least twice in this game.  They will be shown early in the game as they set the scene of Donovan's homecoming.   They will also be shown later in the game to show their reaction to a WSH win or loss.   There is also the opportunity to show them if anything important happens during the game (Mcnabb injury, interception, touchdown pass, etc).
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Overall: 1314-1239-38 (+325.39u)

ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
Regulation: 376-338 (+112.46u)
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Player Props: 167-106-24 (+62.22u)
Team Props: 57-36 (+40.51u)
Totals: 121-124-13 (-20.67)
Parlays: 9-20 (-5.3u)
Grand Salamis: 3-9 (-13.12u)

Futures: 3-12 (+0.5u)

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NHL 2017/2018


Overall: 78-94 (-12.81u)

ML:
54-66-0 (-10.31u)
Regulation:
24-26 (+1.5u)
Puckline:
0-2 (-4u)

Player Props: 0-0
Team Props:
0-0
Totals:
0-0

Futures:
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NHL 2016/2017

Overall: 210-219-1 (+50.34u)

ML:
124-132 (+34.13u)
Regulation:
51-53 (+6.86u)
Puckline:
6-5 (+5.6)

Player Props: 9-6 (+4.2)
Team Props:
10-12 (-5.13)
Totals:
8-8-1 (-0.3u)

Futures:
1-3 (+5u)

NHL 2015/2016

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ML: 119-104 (+64.4)
Regulation: 75-69 (+27.84u)
Puckline: 0-5 (-10u)

Player Props: 16-7-1 (+14.75u)
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Parlays
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ML: 95-105 (+4.66u)
Regulation: 100-94 (+17.76u)
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Parlays
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Puckline: 4-4-1 (+2.6u)

Player Props: 94-54-16 (+34.62u)
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Totals: 54-57-2
Teasers: 113-95-3
Props: 288-242