Sunday, September 19, 2010

Market Watch: 
The public went 6-10 ATS.
Favorites were 6-10 ATS (5-6 at home, 1-4 on road).
5 underdogs won SU on the road (PIT, MIA, KC, CHI, TB).

Week in Review

At Free NFL Predictions the Saints blew what should have been a 5th winning week on the 2010 season.  Week 2 ended with a 4-5-1 record, 1-0 on teasers, and 7-4 on player props.   However, it was even worse for the public and the handicappers in week 2.  To give you an idea of how tough things were, the top 5 consensus picks in the famous Hilton contest in Vegas went 1-4 ATS in week 2 and are 3-6-1 ATS for the year.  Back-to-back Hilton handicapping champion Steve Fezzik is 4-5-1 ATS for the season.  ESPN Gambling Insider Chad Millman is 3-5-2. 

Looking at some of the losses, Mark Sanchez decided to show the football world he isn't a bust yet and the Eagles blew an 18 point lead with under 5 minutes to go in the game against the pesky Lions.  Brett Favre looks like he's still retired, but give MIA's defense credit for that win.  ARI's offense was predictably bad, but ATL pounded them all day and scored one meaningless TD too many to lose the OVER.  Mcnabb spoiled the party in D.C. and turned what should have been a low-scoring affair into a shootout.  

I've already posted 5 early picks I'm on for week 3.   All are undervalued favorites on the road.  This is the time of the season where the men start to separate from the boys and these low spreads will continue to rise in the coming weeks.  I should have a couple more picks during the week, a teaser or two, and some player props.   Analysis and write-ups for the early week 3 picks will be up later tonight or early tomorrow.