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Saturday, September 25, 2010

Week 3 Dirty Dozen Player Props of the Week

Here is a little bit of fun for those that like a little bit of extra action on the games.  Last week I went 7-4 with my player props, but I would not wager more than a half unit on any of these.  At the end of the day they are just game props.  With that said, let's take a look at the game props I like for week 3.   They can all be found at Bodog.


Eli Manning 240.5 Passing Yards: UNDER
TEN/NYG is going to be a game that is won on the ground.  TEN's pass defense is underrated and Eli has already started off the season with a number of interceptions.   I also don't see TEN jumping out to a double-digit lead so I don't expect Eli having to throw it every down to get back in the game.  Prediction: Bank UNDER. 


Josh Freeman 185.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

A lot of people are high on Freeman so far, but consider his opponents.   PIT's defense is far and away the best unit in the league right now and they know the onus is on them to hold the fort until Ben returns.   This is going to be an ugly game offensively from both sides.  Prediction: Bank UNDER.


Carson Palmer 230.5 Passing Yards: OVER

Palmer has not been on the same page with all his receivers this season, but they came out flat against the Pats and faced a tough BAL defense in week 2.  Things get a bit easier for them in their game against the Panthers and I expect some big passing numbers from Palmer in this one:  Prediciton: Bank OVER.

Ray Rice 92.5 Rushing Yards: OVER

Ray Rice is a beast.  Coming off of Flacco's 4 INT's in week 2, BAL will grind it out on the ground and look for Rice to post over 100 yards rushing.   They will also milk the clock and use the run to seal the win in the 2nd half.   Prediction: Bank OVER.

Ray Rice .5 TD: OVER

I would be shocked if Rice doesn't get in the end zone at least once.  He is a dual threat on the ground or in the air.   Prediction: Bank OVER.

Matt Cassel 190.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

Matt Cassel has looked absolutely atrocious this year.   This shouldn't come as a surprise to anybody.   Now he must face a desperate SF defense.   I expect him to be under pressure all day long and he'll be rushing some passes and throwing off balance a number of times.   Prediction: Bank UNDER. 

Brett Favre 245.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

Grandpa Favre has also been horrendous through the air this year.   He missed more practice time this week so he could rest his old limbs and this isn't good news for the passing game.  He's still not on the same page with his receivers, yet most people expect him to return to form against a below-average DET secondary.   Don't fall for the trap.   Prediction: Bank UNDER.

Donovan Mcnabb 247.5 Passing Yards: OVER

Ron Jaworski has seen every single one of Mcnabb's games going back to Syracuse.   This week he said his performance against HOU in week 2 was his best passing game of his career.  That is quite the compliment given who he has to throw to.   WSH have a clear advantage in the air and expect at least 250 passing yards from D-Mac.  Prediction: OVER.

LeSean McCoy 70.5 Rushing Yards: OVER

I have been high on McCoy ever since he entered the league and now all the stars have aligned for him to thrive.  Last week he easily hit the over and while the line is a bit higher this year, expect more of the same against JAX.   With Weaver on IR and Vick keeping defenses honest, running lanes will be there for the taking.   Prediction: Bank OVER.


Reggie Wayne 82.5 Receiving Yards: OVER

Reggie Wayne may challenge AJ for the most receiving yards this year.  Normally I would stay away from this prop because of Champ Bailey, but the pro-bowl CB has been battling an injury all week and is listed as questionable.  I still expect him to play, but Wayne only needs a half-step to put up some big plays.   Prediction: Bank OVER.


Mark Sanchez 190.5 Passing Yards: UNDER

Mark San-chise is going to have to play more than one good game to prove to me that he's ready to take that next step.  MIA won't do him any favors and will make things tough on the young NY QB.   He'll need to earn every yard he gets and I expect this to be a dog-fight defensive battle.   Prediction: Bank UNDER.

Greene 50.5 Rushing Yards: UNDER

Everyone in the football world was sky high on this kid entering the season and he's been nothing short of a disappointment thus far.  He's even lost significant playing time to LT.  His coach worries about his ball security and now he must face a staunch MIA defense.   Last week I cashed an easy prop of LT +10.5 yards over Greene and I'll be looking to cash against him again this week.  Prediction: Bank UNDER.
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ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
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NHL 2017/2018


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ML:
54-66-0 (-10.31u)
Regulation:
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NHL 2016/2017

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ML:
124-132 (+34.13u)
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