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Wednesday, September 15, 2010

Week 2 NFL Predictions: Teaser of the Week

Last week the most surprising pick that didn't cash was the IND +3.5 for the teaser.  The points should have covered whatever ammo the Texans brought and Peyton did his best to keep it interesting, but it wasn't enough.

This weeks teaser features a couple of favorites that should cover without any help, but the tease will bring them down past critical numbers.

Green Bay Packers -7 & Atlanta Falcons -0.5

At -13, the Packers are the first team to enter the double digit club of the season.  I came close to layin' the points and going with the heavy favorite, but with Grant out for the year and BUF's underrated pass defense I couldn't pull the trigger.  It has all the makings of a blowout because BUF will have a tough time scoring points all year, let alone on the road against a stingy Packer defense.   Rodgers never really got into rhythm in week 1 because the PHI defense brought enough pressure to make him release the ball much faster than he wanted to.    BUF will not be able to duplicate that and look for Rodgers to get back into his elite-status groove.   Even if the Packers are nursing a comfortable lead in the 4th quarter, don't expect BUF to get it within one score.

Atlanta is already on my card as an official pick, but bringing them down to what is essentially a pick em is golden.  ARI would need career performances by many of their key players to have a chance at pulling off this upset on the road.   Week 1 is rather meaningless in the big picture, but barely squeaking by one of the worst teams in the league is not a good way to start the season.   They would need a lot of fortunate bounces and breaks to go their way in order to even keep this close, let alone win.   Prediction: Bank GB -7 & ATL -0.5.
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