Friday, September 17, 2010

 Kansas City Chiefs vs Cleveland Browns: KC +2

The KC Kids opened up at home and took down one of my season opening picks by shocking the heavy division favorites.   Usually, I don't like road teams to perform well on a short week - especially after they are coming off an unexpected win at home.  However,  I waited on this game to see how the CLE QB situation played out.  Now that it looks like Seneca Wallace will be starting I really like this play.  Not like Delhomme was the next coming of Peyton Manning, but he was the established starter in this offense and saw most of the first team reps leading up to week 1.   

I undervalued the Chiefs because there was so much youth on the starting roster and they may not have seasoned experience yet, but the one thing they do have is SPEED.   They have big play ability in McCluster and Arenas in the return game and Charles can take it to the house any given play.   He forms a nice one-two punch with Jones and the interior of that line did a great job opening holes for these guys to run.   Cassel had a palty 68 yards passing on Monday and that is no surprise to me.  I don't think he is the long-term answer in KC, but they don't need him to be great to pull out the win against the Browns.  Crennel is very aware of how many rushing yards CLE racked up against KC last season and with Wallace at QB, he will be able to bring down an extra man in the box.   The coaching staff should be able to keep these kids grounded after their big win and Haley has their confidence where it needs to be.

The Browns will not be putting up 300+ yards on the ground this week which will force Wallace to make a half dozen plays and minimize mistakes.  That's asking a lot for a journeyman backup.  This might be one of the only times CLE is favored all year and they are 1-10 in home openers since 1999.  Mangini is on the hot seat and many are surprised he retained his job.   After they lose this game he might want to begin preparations early on a resignation letter.  Prediction: Bank KC +2.