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Wednesday, September 8, 2010

Week 1 NFL Predictions: September 12, 2010

 Odds for these games could change, so be sure to check here for the latest.
  • Carolina Panthers vs New York Giants- UNDER 41.5
The G-men enter week one with a healthy Tuck and they are counting on him to expand his leadership role this season.  After the team mailed it in the last two weeks of the season last year, they will desperately take any leadership they can find.   Bulluck will also help in that department as the Giants D look to re-establish themselves in 2010.  The acquisition of Rolle was a nice step in the right direction.   Smith and Nicks are underrated receivers, but they won't be pro-bowlers on day 1.  Expect a heavy dose of Bradshaw/Jacobs as the NYG will work the clock.

CAR have the same game plan as the NYG, but with much less talent.  Moore has his believers, but he has a long way to go before he convinces me.  Right now he is using the Trent Dilfer playbook as he will primarily manage the game and hope Williams/Stewart can carry the load.   Smith should bounce back from his "flag football" arm injury, but don't expect miracles with Moore at the helm.  Coach Fox is on the hotseat and this should be his last season as head coach of the Panthers.   He usually gets more out of less and he will try to keep this one close to have a chance in the 4th quarter.

This game should go rather quickly as both teams will play field position and possession football.  Don't expect this game on the Red Zone channel that often.     Prediction: Bank UNDER 41.5.


  • Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills - MIA -3
Let it be known up front that I am not a Henne fan .. unless of course he is playing the Bills.  With all the attention squarely on the Hollywood Jets and the Brady Patriots, MIA has been fortunate to prepare for the 2010 season in relative obscurity.   While I don't expect them to make the playoffs this year, I do expect them to win this game without much trouble.   Short of Henne completely falling on his face, they should be able to control the clock with the running game.   Brown and Williams aren't the spring chickens they used to be and they will be running behind an O-line with a bunch of question marks, but the strength of the Bills D is not against the run.   On D, new coordinator Nolin will have to scotch-tape a roster that has a lot of new faces, but luckily for them they get an extra preseason game to start the season to get things right.

The only thing I like about BUF is Spiller and a solid pass D.   Outside of that, they have enormous problems on their O-line, worse problems at QB, and sit in the middle of the very early stages of a rebuilding plan.  The only thing they have going for them is home field advantage, but that won't last into the 2nd half.    I could go on about the holes in BUF's lineup, but it won't be necessary.

Winds could be strong so expect even more emphasis on the running game.   If BUF could run the ball 75 times, that might give them an edge, but sooner or later they will need to make some plays through the air.   I doubt anyone outside of Edward's immediate family believe that can happen.  This game is begging to go over the current -3 line, but it's unlikely.   Lay the points with confidence.     Prediction: Bank MIA -3.
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