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Saturday, September 11, 2010

Week 1 NFL Predictions: The Dirty Dozen Game Props of the Week

Here is a little bit of fun for those that like a little bit of extra action on the games.  I would not wager more than a half unit on any of these because at the end of the day they are just game props.  With that said, let's take a look at the game props I like for week 1. 

Donovan Mcnabb .5 Interceptions and 7.5 Rushing Yards - OVER

Mcnabb is starting for a new team with suspect wide receivers and he is coming off an injured ankle.   There are also serious questions about his offensive line.   Chances are that he'll be making a few uncomfortable passes.   He'll be amped up as he starts over again and opening at home.   The Cowboys might also pull away from the Skins so Mcnabb might have to force the ball to make something happen.  

For many of the same reasons listed above, Mcnabb will need and want to make things happen in his first start for Washington.   Everytime he has been challenged on or off the field in the pass, he makes it a point to run for a couple first downs to prove that he can still hurt you with the run and that he is healthy.   This guy likes to play with a chip on his shoulder.   Prediction: Bank OVER.

Tony Romo .5 Interceptions - OVER

Romo is usually pretty good in September, but this year is a little bit different.  There are serious problems and concerns on his offensive line and he is opening up against a division rival under the bright lights.   This could be a tight game and he should throw a few ill-advised passes trying to make something happen out of nothing.  Prediction: Bank OVER.

Aaron Rodgers 275.5 Passing Yards - UNDER

This might catch some people off guard.  Rodgers has already been given the full-hype treatment by ESPN and the rest of the world is buying in.  There's no doubt that he's headed for huge things, but a lot of people are underestimating the Eagles defense.  Samuel, Hobbs, and Hansen are a solid group and they will bring the pressure with exotic blitzes.   GB will rely more on a balanced attack to keep the defense honest and will hurt his chances at a high yardage game.  Prediciton: Bank UNDER.

Frank Gore 85.5 Rushing Yards - OVER

It's no secret that Seattle is the heavy underdog in this game.   Alex Smith is not the next coming off Joe Montana and Singletary will continue to pound the rock.   The 49ers should also have a lead heading into the 4th quarter so they will be more than happy to run out the clock.  This is a generous number for this stud RB.  Prediction: Bank OVER.

Steven Jackson 22.5 Receiving Yards - OVER

Sam Bradford makes his 1st start at home and you can bet that he will be looking for his check down receiver every other play.  S-Jax is a tough runner, has excellent catching ability, and will break at least 1 or 2 receptions against the Cardinals.   He is also the only bona fide star they have on offense so they will look to get the ball in his hands every chance they get.  Prediction: Bank OVER. 

Mathew Stafford 210.5 Passing Yards - OVER

Stafford made a concerted effort to improve his completion percentage and it was a main focus of the preseason.   With some more weapons on offense, this kid is ready to turn some heads in his second season.  This game will not be a classic defensive battle designed around the run.   Expect some touchdowns, interceptions, and a whole lot of yards.   Prediction: Bank OVER.

CJ Spiller 52.5 Rushing Yards and .5 Touchdowns - OVER

Spiller has been name the starter in week 1 against the Dolphins and he is one of the only reasons fans will be coming to see the Bills.  Expect a heavy package featuring the rookie who is capable of taking it to the distance at any time.   He should get in the end zone at least once and will easily rush for over 53 yards in his NFL debut.  Prediction: Bank OVER.

Jerome Harrison .5 Touchdowns - OVER

A lot of people are sleeping on the Browns.  Yes, they are the Browns, but they are facing what could be the worst team in the NFL.  Harrison will get the ball a lot on Sunday in what could be the least watched game of the weekend.   Prediction: Bank OVER.

Jake Delhomme 155.5 Passing Yards - OVER

Delhomme is still a suspect quarterback in the NFL, but he was an upgrade over Quinn/Anderson.   He got to wipe the slate clean for a team that believes in him.   He looked solid in preseason and should have little trouble passing this very low prop number.   If he was playing any other defense, I'd give it more thought, but we are talking about Tampa Bay here.  Prediction: Bank OVER.

Terrell Owens 3.5 Receptions - OVER

Carson Palmer has been singing T.O.'s praises all preseason and maintains that coverages are still double teaming Ocho Cinco.   They will also benefit from playing a depleted NE secondary.   Take advantage of yet another low number.   T.O. should be good for at least half a dozen receptions this week.  Prediction: Bank OVER.
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ML: 536-540 (+146.57u)
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NHL 2017/2018

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124-132 (+34.13u)
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6-5 (+5.6)

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10-12 (-5.13)
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1-3 (+5u)

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