During the past 14 years, underdogs +1 to +3 have a 54.6% winning record ATS. Week 1 underdogs are 58.1%, while home underdogs are 58.4%. Jerry Jones has publicly stated he wants to win this game to cap off a celebration weekend for Emmit Smith. Wade Philips likes to keep everyone happy. DAL has a better backup with Kitna. I like the money line when the underdog is +3 or less. Prediction: Bank DAL +3.